

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Deportivo A Coruña wins; above it, FC Barcelona wins.
| Deportivo A Coruña \ FC Barcelona | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Deportivo A Coruña goals in rows, FC Barcelona goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo A Coruña | 9 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| FC Barcelona | 1 | 2.21 | 0.80 | 2.11 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.