Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Elche wins; above it, Atlético de Madrid wins.
| Elche \ Atlético de Madrid | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | ||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Elche goals in rows, Atlético de Madrid goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 18 | 1.01 | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 1.43 | 0.78 | 1.66 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
