

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Espanyol wins; above it, Getafe wins.
| Espanyol \ Getafe | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Espanyol goals in rows, Getafe goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 14 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Getafe | 15 | 0.71 | 0.87 | 0.74 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.