Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Málaga wins; above it, Athletic Club wins.
| Málaga \ Athletic Club | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Málaga goals in rows, Athletic Club goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 20 | 0.69 | 1.37 | 0.82 |
| Athletic Club | 7 | 1.05 | 0.89 | 1.44 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
