Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Real Madrid wins; above it, Deportivo Alavés wins.
| Real Madrid \ Deportivo Alavés | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Real Madrid goals in rows, Deportivo Alavés goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2 | 1.74 | 0.70 | 2.47 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 0.93 | 1.06 | 0.65 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
