Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Real Sociedad wins; above it, Sevilla wins.
| Real Sociedad \ Sevilla | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Real Sociedad goals in rows, Sevilla goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 5 | 1.20 | 1.11 | 1.81 |
| Sevilla | 6 | 1.05 | 1.13 | 1.16 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
