Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Valencia wins; above it, Osasuna wins.
| Valencia \ Osasuna | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Valencia goals in rows, Osasuna goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 19 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Osasuna | 16 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 1.02 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
