Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, AFC Bournemouth wins; above it, Nottingham Forest wins.
| AFC Bournemouth \ Nottingham Forest | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
AFC Bournemouth goals in rows, Nottingham Forest goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 8 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.61 |
| Nottingham Forest | 19 | 0.92 | 1.08 | 1.01 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
