Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Aston Villa wins; above it, Sunderland wins.
| Aston Villa \ Sunderland | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Aston Villa goals in rows, Sunderland goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 10 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1.73 |
| Sunderland | 20 | 0.83 | 1.22 | 0.92 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
