Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Chelsea wins; above it, Leeds United wins.
| Chelsea \ Leeds United | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Chelsea goals in rows, Leeds United goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 4 | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| Leeds United | 12 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 1.14 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
