

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Liverpool wins; above it, Manchester United wins.
| Liverpool \ Manchester United | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Liverpool goals in rows, Manchester United goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.82 |
| Manchester United | 17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.17 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.