Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Manchester City wins; above it, Fulham wins.
| Manchester City \ Fulham | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| 6 | 1 |
Manchester City goals in rows, Fulham goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2 | 1.52 | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| Fulham | 15 | 0.89 | 1.06 | 0.77 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
