

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Brighton & Hove Albion wins; above it, Newcastle United wins.
| Brighton & Hove Albion \ Newcastle United | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Brighton & Hove Albion goals in rows, Newcastle United goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 1.39 | 0.88 | 2.17 |
| Newcastle United | 12 | 1.12 | 1.23 | 0.99 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.