

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Crystal Palace wins; above it, Hull City wins.
| Crystal Palace \ Hull City | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Crystal Palace goals in rows, Hull City goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 20 | 0.89 | 1.41 | 1.06 |
| Hull City | 13 | 0.85 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.