Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Everton wins; above it, Liverpool wins.
| Everton \ Liverpool | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Everton goals in rows, Liverpool goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 6 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Liverpool | 4 | 1.30 | 0.99 | 1.30 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
