Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Ipswich Town wins; above it, Aston Villa wins.
| Ipswich Town \ Aston Villa | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Ipswich Town goals in rows, Aston Villa goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 14 | 1.07 | 1.60 | 1.58 |
| Aston Villa | 10 | 1.23 | 1.18 | 1.97 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
