

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Leeds United wins; above it, Coventry City wins.
| Leeds United \ Coventry City | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Leeds United goals in rows, Coventry City goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 9 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 1.72 |
| Coventry City | 17 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 0.88 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.