Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Manchester United wins; above it, Brentford wins.
| Manchester United \ Brentford | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | ||||||
| 6 |
Manchester United goals in rows, Brentford goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 18 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.64 |
| Brentford | 8 | 1.19 | 1.05 | 1.47 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
