Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Nottingham Forest wins; above it, Chelsea wins.
| Nottingham Forest \ Chelsea | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Nottingham Forest goals in rows, Chelsea goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 16 | 0.97 | 1.05 | 1.45 |
| Chelsea | 5 | 1.27 | 1.18 | 1.34 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
