

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sunderland wins; above it, Tottenham Hotspur wins.
| Sunderland \ Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Sunderland goals in rows, Tottenham Hotspur goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 19 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11 | 0.94 | 1.15 | 1.08 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.