Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, LOSC Lille wins; above it, Olympique Lyonnais wins.
| LOSC Lille \ Olympique Lyonnais | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
LOSC Lille goals in rows, Olympique Lyonnais goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOSC Lille | 2 | 1.16 | 0.83 | 1.46 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 3 | 1.33 | 1.02 | 1.11 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
