Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Lorient wins; above it, Rennes wins.
| Lorient \ Rennes | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Lorient goals in rows, Rennes goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 11 | 0.98 | 1.20 | 1.36 |
| Rennes | 5 | 1.34 | 1.12 | 1.61 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
