Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Olympique Marseille wins; above it, Le Mans wins.
| Olympique Marseille \ Le Mans | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Olympique Marseille goals in rows, Le Mans goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Marseille | 6 | 1.42 | 1.03 | 2.68 |
| Le Mans | 17 | 0.87 | 1.53 | 0.89 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
