Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Monaco wins; above it, Auxerre wins.
| Monaco \ Auxerre | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Monaco goals in rows, Auxerre goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 7 | 1.39 | 1.07 | 2.11 |
| Auxerre | 14 | 0.95 | 1.23 | 1.01 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
