Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Nice wins; above it, Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Nice \ Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Nice goals in rows, Paris Saint Germain goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 8 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1.80 | 0.81 | 1.88 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
