Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Paris wins; above it, Angers SCO wins.
| Paris \ Angers SCO | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Paris goals in rows, Angers SCO goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | 4 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 1.79 |
| Angers SCO | 15 | 0.76 | 1.25 | 0.81 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
