Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Strasbourg wins; above it, Brest wins.
| Strasbourg \ Brest | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Strasbourg goals in rows, Brest goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 13 | 1.22 | 1.15 | 1.80 |
| Brest | 10 | 1.11 | 1.20 | 1.27 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
