Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Troyes wins; above it, Le Havre wins.
| Troyes \ Le Havre | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Troyes goals in rows, Le Havre goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 16 | 0.82 | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Le Havre | 18 | 0.85 | 1.26 | 1.17 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
