

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Angers SCO wins; above it, Lens wins.
| Angers SCO \ Lens | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Angers SCO goals in rows, Lens goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO | 16 | 0.75 | 1.26 | 0.86 |
| Lens | 11 | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.58 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.