Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Auxerre wins; above it, Olympique Marseille wins.
| Auxerre \ Olympique Marseille | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Auxerre goals in rows, Olympique Marseille goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 14 | 0.93 | 1.22 | 1.19 |
| Olympique Marseille | 4 | 1.42 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
