Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Brest wins; above it, Paris wins.
| Brest \ Paris | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Brest goals in rows, Paris goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 9 | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Paris | 3 | 1.15 | 1.05 | 1.36 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
