Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Le Havre wins; above it, Strasbourg wins.
| Le Havre \ Strasbourg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Le Havre goals in rows, Strasbourg goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 18 | 0.84 | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Strasbourg | 13 | 1.21 | 1.16 | 1.54 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
