Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Olympique Lyonnais wins; above it, Monaco wins.
| Olympique Lyonnais \ Monaco | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Olympique Lyonnais goals in rows, Monaco goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 1.31 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
| Monaco | 7 | 1.39 | 1.07 | 1.42 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
