Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Nice wins; above it, Troyes wins.
| Nice \ Troyes | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Nice goals in rows, Troyes goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 6 | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.75 |
| Troyes | 17 | 0.80 | 1.32 | 0.83 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
