Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Paris Saint Germain wins; above it, Lorient wins.
| Paris Saint Germain \ Lorient | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Paris Saint Germain goals in rows, Lorient goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1.79 | 0.81 | 2.62 |
| Lorient | 10 | 0.99 | 1.19 | 0.80 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
