Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Toulouse wins; above it, Rennes wins.
| Toulouse \ Rennes | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Toulouse goals in rows, Rennes goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 12 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.47 |
| Rennes | 8 | 1.34 | 1.13 | 1.48 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
