Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Frosinone wins; above it, Parma wins.
| Frosinone \ Parma | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Frosinone goals in rows, Parma goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 6 | 1.56 | 1.26 | 1.95 |
| Parma | 16 | 0.74 | 1.13 | 0.93 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
