Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Inter wins; above it, Genoa wins.
| Inter \ Genoa | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Inter goals in rows, Genoa goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 2.36 |
| Genoa | 13 | 0.91 | 1.13 | 0.81 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
