Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sassuolo wins; above it, Napoli wins.
| Sassuolo \ Napoli | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Sassuolo goals in rows, Napoli goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 17 | 1.09 | 1.47 | 1.08 |
| Napoli | 10 | 1.29 | 0.89 | 1.91 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
