Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Torino wins; above it, Lazio wins.
| Torino \ Lazio | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | ||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Torino goals in rows, Lazio goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 11 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.04 |
| Lazio | 1 | 1.23 | 0.93 | 1.55 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
