Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Udinese wins; above it, Fiorentina wins.
| Udinese \ Fiorentina | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Udinese goals in rows, Fiorentina goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 20 | 0.95 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Fiorentina | 15 | 1.15 | 1.26 | 1.53 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
