Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Venezia wins; above it, Bologna wins.
| Venezia \ Bologna | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Venezia goals in rows, Bologna goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 19 | 0.72 | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Bologna | 8 | 1.15 | 1.07 | 1.53 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
