Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, TSG Hoffenheim wins; above it, Olympique Lyonnais wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
TSG Hoffenheim goals in rows, Olympique Lyonnais goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | 17 | 1.24 | 1.39 | 1.84 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 4 | 1.34 | 1.04 | 1.63 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
