Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Beşiktaş wins; above it, Crystal Palace wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Beşiktaş goals in rows, Crystal Palace goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 2 | 1.43 | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| Crystal Palace | 12 | 0.99 | 1.27 | 1.54 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
