Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, AFC Bournemouth wins; above it, AC Milan wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
AFC Bournemouth goals in rows, AC Milan goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 18 | 1.11 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| AC Milan | 5 | 1.29 | 0.89 | 1.10 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
