Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Lillestrøm wins; above it, Real Sociedad wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Lillestrøm goals in rows, Real Sociedad goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm | 6 | 0.94 | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Real Sociedad | 6 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 2.06 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
