Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sturm Graz wins; above it, Olympique Marseille wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Sturm Graz goals in rows, Olympique Marseille goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 4 | 1.20 | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| Olympique Marseille | 13 | 1.37 | 1.02 | 1.73 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
