Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Union Saint-Gilloise wins; above it, Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Union Saint-Gilloise goals in rows, Hapoel Be'er Sheva goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 1.48 | 0.62 | 2.46 |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | — | 0.79 | 1.33 | 0.59 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
