

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sporting CP wins; above it, LASK wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sporting CP goals in rows, LASK goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 3 | 2.13 | 0.69 | 3.00 |
| LASK | 3 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.70 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.