Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Real Madrid wins; above it, RB Leipzig wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 |
Real Madrid goals in rows, RB Leipzig goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 | 1.69 | 0.74 | 2.14 |
| RB Leipzig | 5 | 1.41 | 1.02 | 1.24 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
